![]() ![]() Well, it will be tedious and LONG, and you're still a fairly big underdog to hit one or more royals. To get 5600 tier credits, you'd need to run 5600 x $25 = $140,000 coin-in.Īverage expected loss: $140,000 x (1-0.9911) = $1,246Įxpected loss if you don't hit a royal: $140,000 x (1-0.9744) = $3,584Įxpected WIN if you hit one royal: $20,000 - $3,584 = $16,416Ĭhance of hitting a royal at Double Bonus if played correctly: 1 in 47,619Ĭhance of hitting AT LEAST ONE ROYAL in 5600 hands: 1 - (47618/47619)^5600 = 0.1109 = 11.1%īottom line: You have an 88.9% chance of hitting NO royals doing the above, meaning you would lose $3,584 if you ran completely average in everything else. ![]() Theoretical return is 99.11%, but royal is 1.67% of that return. Let's look at the Double Bonus situation. So if you don't hit a royal (which you usually won't when you're only running 56k coin-in at single-play $5 machines), your expected loss is 1.66-2% worse than the theoretical return - and even worse if you don't play totally perfectly. ![]() The royal flush accounts for approximately 2% of payback at these machines. There is a lot of variance involved, AND you would have to play the $5 machines at $25/tier in order to realistically earn 5600 in one day (see the post above). How much cash would you recommend to have on you in order to make sure you get all the 5600 points, please? is 2K enough?Sadly, no. ![]()
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